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Not traceable in my opinion.

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No much movements.

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No. In my opinion there was no tradeable deviation.

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I made 21 pips on USDJPY retracement June NFP.

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As per Henry's deviation recommendation, tradable trigger is 70K, or in his news alert specifically it is BUY -30K or SELL -180K. As the NFP came out at -125K, (Forecast was -110K/-106 as per Forex Factory) it was not tradable under the parameters.

I was watching price action on EURUSD and EURJPY before the news. At 8:30 EST, both moved up by about 60 pips and then retraced back to the pre-news level (in the case of EURJPY it went lower), and to go back up as the day progressed. You would notice that EUR Unemployment rate (medium impact) released earlier at 5AM was positive for the Euro which could be a signal for a buy trade if you were willing to trade it.

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Tyce's NFP Analysis for 2 July 2010

On thing I wish Henry would add to his tradable news releases are subsequent news releases that effect (mitigate or amplify) the previous News Release. This was the case of this months NFP with US Factory Orders coming out far below expectations at -1.4% vs. 0.5% expected.

An extremely interesting NFP this month. Unemployment was 9.5% vs. 9.8% expected and Non Farm Payrolls came in at 125k vs. 130k expected. Revisions were higher at 431K to 433K. The only surprise was the unemployment figure decreasing by 0.3% over the expected. So one would expect the USD to strengthen....BUT economists are those intimate with the NFP and it's mathematical construct would realize that unemployment is based on those COLLECTING unemployment checks. Knowing this, and the fact that unemployment benefits were extended 99 weeks, many of the filings are falling off as a recordable data figure, but are truly unemployed.

Take a look at my chart from Friday. EURUSD pair, 30 minute chart.
1.25518 8:30 EST Open
1.25459 16:30 EST closing at just 5.9 PIPS below the 8:30 NFP release.
Fibonacci Retracement line really provided some excellent guidance at the 0.0 & 61.8 levels.
Resistance of the NFP release in the EUR/USD pair occurred at the 1.26030 level (9:30, 10:00, 10:30, 11:00 on 30 minute charts, see attached chart) before plunging to Open/Close candlestick levels of the 8:00 EST US FX Market open.

Source(s):

After looking at the Commitment Of Traders (COT) from this past Tuesday, Commercial traders were buying both the USD & EUR, but the USD was still net short while the EUR is net long with respect to # of contracts.

Finally, in the FX Spot Market, it is typical for speculators and commercials to liquidate positions on Friday. It's apparent that this was the case after 11:00 EST, the news release for both the NFP and US Factory orders mitigated and EURUSD long positions were liquidated to bring the EURUSD with-in 5 PIPS of the 8:30 EST (pre) NFP release level.

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That depends who you ask. Some would say yes others no. According to Henry NO as It did not offer enough of a deviation. It did draw some quick spikes but nothing trend changing.

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No. Deviaiton insufficient under Trade the News.

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it wasnt tradeable deviation

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The NFP US JUNE 2010 did not meet Henry's save deviation to pull the trigger, I think he would have call it a non trade.I watched USD/JPY retraced all it gain and I then took a reversal position for a good trade.

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In my opinion, the NFP US JUNE 2010 is still tradable but the selection of the currency pair must be done carefully. My selected pair to trade is EUR/USD base on the price action after the news release. The result is good.

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